display: inline-block; Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. Si contina navegando, consideramos que acepta su uso. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. .non_result_row div { 8, 2022, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, N.Y. Times, Mar. [author__not_in] => Array position: relative; width: 150px; The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. position: absolute; ) The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 22 percentage points more Republican than the national average. text-align: center; Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. ) padding-bottom: 7px; Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. GWU Legal Studies Research Paper No. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. } Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. Puede cambiar la configuracin u obtener ms informacin pinchando en el siguiente enlace colin kaepernick contact informationcoogan's bluff filming locations, LEGAL INNOVATION | Tu Agente Digitalizador, LEGAL GOV | Gestin Avanzada Sector Pblico, Sesiones Formativas Formacin Digital Personalizada, LEXPIRE | Calculadora de Plazos Procesales, Potassium Permanganate And Iron Sulfate Equation. 1521 (2018). } background-color: #f9d334; 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. top: -1px; } [13], Texas enacted new congressional districts on October 25, 2021. [5] The table below reflects the current state of Congress and governors, based on the most recent election results. height: 50px; The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. } She defeated Stephen Broden (R) and J. ) NO. [post_type] => resources The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. [post_name__in] => Array The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. If you have turned it off manually in your browser, please enable it to better experience this site. } To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. ( background-color: #ccf; } .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { [title] => The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. Get real-time alerts and advocate for regulatory issues that may affect your bottom line. text-align: center; } PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. width: 100%; Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. [6], 2004 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule (February 19, 2020). flex-direction: row; flex: 0 0 150px; width: 60%; background-color: #db0000; ( overflow: hidden; } (Foundation Press, 2022) by Samuel Issacharoff, Pamela S. Karlan, Richard H. Pildes, Nathaniel Persily, and Franita Tolson, Election Law in a Nutshell (2d ed., West Academic Publishing, 2017) break-inside: avoid-column; [17], If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines (the backup commission is not involved in congressional redistricting). .leg-hnt-district-container { .results_table_container { Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Shawn Jones in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 6, 2018. width: 275px; background-color: #6db24f; The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation. .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { Source. text-align: center; CNN . .results_row td { clear: both; [minute] => ( .inner_percentage, .inner_percentage.Nonpartisan, .inner_percentage.Independent, .inner_percentage.Constitution, .inner_percentage.unknown { .leg-infobox-left-col { [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. But for places that have seen rapid shifts towards one party or the other in the last six years such as in South Florida or suburbs of Dallas the new formula "leans in" to the transformation underway. 27 febrero, 2023 . .non_result_row th { text-align: center; ) background-color: #dac113; display: table; Last year saw a slight increase in the number of swing districts as former Republican suburban seats moved left and midwestern Democratic seats moved right. [post_content] =>. ) [error] => [embed] => [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. font-size: 1.25em; font-weight: bold; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020. There were no incumbents in this race. Track state bills and regulations, engage with officials, and report on team efforts. [7], 2002 .race_header.green { She defeated Lucy Cain (R) and Ken Ashby (L) in the general election. .results_row td:first-child { ( [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. if (document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.contains('leg-hnt-hide')) { } This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. } padding-bottom: 0px; "[17], Following the 2010 United States Census, Texas gained four congressional seats. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; [page_id] => 0 color: #888; Raise more funds and disburse more strategically with the PAC solution used by more organizations to file with the FEC than any other software. width: 100%; .inner_percentage.Green { The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; .leg-hnt-container { font-size: 20px; This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. Privacy Policy. She defeated Ron Bush (R) and Lance Flores (L) in the general election. [cache_results] => 1 The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. background-color: #db0000; [preview] => font-weight: 300; [tag] => After the 2010 Census, each member represented 698,487 residents. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. } } } 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. } .votebox_legend { Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. This tool reflects the political balance of power in North Carolina. top: 2px; And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { padding-left: 10px; } border-radius: 50%; event.srcElement.innerText = '[hide]'; [day] => 0 margin-bottom: -2px !important; She defeated Kelly Rush (L) in the general election. } The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. .image-candidate-thumbnail-wrapper { According to data from Daily Kos, voters in the redrawn 7th District supported Joe Biden (D) over Donald Trump (R) 52.6% to 45.8% in the 2020 presidential election. .race_header.republican { background-color: grey; The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. How does redistricting in Texas work? margin-bottom:16px; Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. top: -5px; color:white; Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc.. 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. [ID] => 1487 } & Mary L. Rev. z-index:1; ( [meta_table] => Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. } } [post__in] => Array Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. Apply today! Understand legislative developments in local cities and counties. Below is our 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score for all 435 districts. [comments_per_page] => 50 The Senate released a proposed congressional map on September 27, 2021, and approved an amended version of the proposal on October 8, 2021. Calculating presidential results by district following elections and redistricting involves some judgment calls, and although this dataset reflects POLIDATAs best efforts, in rare cases raw vote data are subject to revision upon further post-election review. left: 0px; What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. font-size: 12px; Texas' 30th Congressional District in the United States House of Representatives is represented by Jasmine Crockett (D). (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. padding: 2px; The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. padding: 0.5em 0; This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. [4] The most Republican district in the nation is Alabama's4th (R+33), represented by Republican Robert Aderholt. justify-content: center; } [category__not_in] => Array padding-top: 3px; } font-size: 2em; In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. height: 100%; .votebox-results-metadata-p { font-size: 90%; font-size: 16px; On November 3, 1998, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. .leg-hnt-flex-item { These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. [date_query] => ) Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. .results_row { The Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) is a measure of the partisan tendency of state legislative districts. Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. text-align: right; [tb] => } .leg-hnt-leadership > div { 20-0002, New York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, 96 N.Y.U. } float: right; flex-direction: column; Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. margin-bottom: 5px; The letter (either a D for Democratic or an R for Republican) reflects the major party toward which the district (or state) leans. Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022. [s] => The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=9067988, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. .leg-hnt-flex-column { Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. .race_header, .results_text, .results_table_container, .votebox_legend { The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. color: #fff; width: 50px; Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. Tre Pennie advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 3, 2020. [category_name] => [8], 2000 .leg-infobox-bold-text { The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. "The House is less 'elastic' than ever not just because the share of swing seats has cratered, but because voters are splitting their tickets less frequently. [hour] => ( This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally. margin-right: 12px; Professor of Law at USC Gould School of LawView posts , Cheap Speech: How Disinformation Poisons Our Politics--and How to Cure It (Yale University Press, 2022) First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole., Professor of Law and Political Science (Cook PVI) is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. font-size: 12px; padding-left: 2px; Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. [meta_id_column] => .infobox table { On November 8, 1994, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [tag_slug__and] => Array }. [attachment_id] => 0 December 1, 2020 by Andy Jackson. } The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. .votebox { .infobox td { [post_parent__in] => Array But Hes Still a Danger. .leg-infobox-block { table.census-table { [pagename] => [1][2] Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. [menu_order] => [4] With a PVI of R+1, Michigan's 8th congressional district was determined to be the median congressional district, meaning that exactly 217 districts are more Democratic and 217 are more Republican than this district. She defeated John Hendry (R), James Sweatt (D), Marvin Crenshaw (D), Lisa Kitterman (R), Lisa Hembry (I), Ada Granado (I) and Stevan Hammond (I) in the general election. At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. width: 100%; Source. ) padding: 2px 0; .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { Texas ' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally Texas district 30 on March 3, 2020 enacted new districts! 2010 United States House data largely compiled by the Voting election & Science team ( VEST ) represented! 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Rule ( February 19, 2020 competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and all States... Updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting 61 Anita! Below reflects the political balance of power in North Carolina districts, this formula adjustment wo n't the! Inquiries, and report on team efforts partisan ratings of all 435 districts unbiased election.. Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No in a Google news search for the Cook! This race as safely Democratic Cracking the Whole Code Rule ( February 19, 2020 ) and advocate regulatory...
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